HK VCP, Stage-2 & breakout screen — public rules港股 VCP、Stage-2 與突破篩選——公開規則
This is Arrie’s public rules page for the evening Hong Kong main-board screen: Stage-2 trend template, base-quality gates, volume breakout and VCP pattern books, then a proximity filter. Gate numbers below are the ones already published on the site. Nothing here is tailored advice.本頁為 Arrie 每晚港股主板篩選的公開規則：第二階段趨勢關卡、底部質素門檻、量能突破與 VCP 型態書，再加距離過濾。下列門檻數字與網站已公布者相同。此處沒有個人化建議。
Universe before the stages進入階段前的涵蓋範圍
HKEX main-board only — roughly 320 names with market cap ≥ HK$30B, price ≥ HK$2, and 20-day average turnover ≥ HK$15M. Not GEM, US, A-shares, warrants, CBBCs, futures or crypto.
只涵蓋港交所主板——約 320 隻：市值 ≥ 300 億港元、股價 ≥ 2 港元、20 日平均成交額 ≥ 1,500 萬港元。不含創業板、美股、A 股、窩輪、牛熊證、期貨或加密貨幣。
1. Stage-2 trend template1. 第二階段趨勢關卡
A 10-point Stage-2 template scores moving-average structure, distance from the 52-week high and low, and relative strength. Gate: 9 of 10.
10 分制第二階段關卡，就均線結構、距 52 週高低位及相對強度評分。門檻為 10 分中的 9 分。
2. Base quality2. 底部質素
14-day ATR% below the stock’s own 50-day median; base depth 20% or less; trigger no more than 1.25× the 50-day moving average.
14 日 ATR% 低於該股自身 50 日中位數；底部深度不超過 20%；觸發價不高於 50 日均線的 1.25 倍。
3. Breakout and VCP pattern books3. 突破與 VCP 型態書
Breakout: a leading stock that has gone quiet — tight, shallow, not-yet-extended base — breaking a 5-day high on volume of at least 1.75× its 50-day average.
突破：走勢轉靜的強勢股——底部收窄、回調淺、尚未偏離——以不少於 50 日均量 1.75 倍的成交量突破 5 日高位。
VCP: successive tighter swings plus a two-part volume dry-up (10-day average below 85% of the 40-day, and 5-day at most 60% of the 50-day), breaking a 10-day high on volume of at least 1.5× average.
VCP：波幅逐次收窄，並通過兩項縮量測試（10 日均量低於 40 日的 85%，且 5 日均量不高於 50 日的 60%），以不少於 1.5 倍均量突破 10 日高位。
4. Proximity filter4. 距離過濾
A name is listed only when price is coiled within 13% of its pattern trigger.
只有當股價收窄至距型態觸發價 13% 以內才會列出。
AI news layerAI 新聞層
For names already selected mechanically, language models read recent English and Chinese news and attach a label. They do not pick the list and do not change the mechanical result.
對已由機械規則選出的股票，語言模型閱讀近期中英文新聞並加上標籤。它們不會挑選名單，亦不會改動機械結果。
Simulated results disclaimer模擬結果免責聲明
Any performance figures shown elsewhere on the site are hypothetical and derived from simulated trading. No real money was placed at risk. Simulated and past performance is not a guide to future results. This rules page makes no return or profit promise.
網站其他位置所示的表現數據均屬假設性，由模擬交易得出，並無真實資金承受風險。模擬及過往表現並不代表將來表現。本規則頁不作任何回報或盈利承諾。
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Arrie is a research and screening tool. Nothing here is a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Arrie is not SFC-licensed. You make your own decisions and are solely responsible for them.Arrie 是研究及篩選工具。此處一切內容均不構成買賣任何證券的推薦、要約或招攬。Arrie 未獲證監會發牌。閣下須自行決定，並承擔全部責任。
