Compound Growth Plan — HSTECH ORB v2 + HSI Gap Continuation

166 trades over 16 months  •  Fixed-fraction sizing: 50% of equity per strategy at 1× (matches combined.html 200K/strategy)  •  Agree days (2.0×): 100% per strategy = 200% notional (2× equity peak)  •  No broker margin required — 2× leverage embedded in ETF  •  Backtest CAGR: 49.6%

HKD 200K Start
Starting: HKD 200,000
HKD 342,245
+71.1%   CAGR 49.6%
Profit: HKD 142,245
over 16 months
HKD 300K Start
Starting: HKD 300,000
HKD 513,482
+71.2%   CAGR 49.6%
Profit: HKD 213,482
over 16 months
HKD 400K Start
Starting: HKD 400,000
HKD 684,735
+71.2%   CAGR 49.7%
Profit: HKD 284,735
over 16 months

Compound Growth — All Starting Capitals (indexed to 100 = starting equity)  |  Identical % growth regardless of starting amount

Absolute Equity (HKD) — Backtest + 5-Year Projection at backtest CAGR

Strategy 1 — HSTECH Opening Range Breakout (ORB)

Setup window 09:30–10:00 HKT — track highest high & lowest low of all HSTECH bars Trigger First bar to close above the ORB high (long) or below the ORB low (short) Filters Both must agree at first break: MACD histogram > 0 for long / < 0 for short  •  Breadth: advance > decline ratio Instruments 07226 (2× HSTECH bull) for longs  •  07552 (2× HSTECH bear) for shorts Exit Hold to end-of-day (16:00 HKT) — no fixed TP/SL; daily momentum captured in full Regime: agree HSI gap direction matches ORB direction → scale both strategies to 2× Regime: conflict Directions oppose → HSTECH runs at 2×, HSI gap trade skipped for that day No-trade rule If filters fail on the first break → no HSTECH trade that day (prevents late re-entries)

Strategy 2 — HSI Overnight Gap Continuation

Setup Measure overnight gap between previous close and today's open (HSI index) Filter Gap must be within configured min/max % bounds — too small = noise; too large = event risk Entry 09:35 HKT (5 min after open) in gap direction  •  07200 bull / 07500 bear TP1 (40% exit) At 40% of gap×2×lev — sell 40% of position; locks in first profit tranche Trail (60%) Remaining 60% trails a 0.40σ stop below the running high — rides extended moves Stop-loss Hard SL at 1.0× gap×lev below entry (full gap back = invalidation) SL Reversal If SL is hit before 14:30 → immediately enter opposite ETF and hold to EOD (fade the move) Agree scale-up When HSTECH ORB fires in same direction → add +1× to the HSI position (total 2×)

Monthly Return % — All 3 Starting Capitals

Monthly P&L (HKD) — HKD 200K · HKD 300K · HKD 400K

Position Size Quick-Reference — Shares to Enter in Futu (min unit = 100 shares = 1 board lot)

HKD 200K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.08,300 (83L)
07552 @10.010,000 (100L)
07200 @6.016,600 (166L)
07500 @5.518,100 (181L)
HKD 300K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.012,500 (125L)
07552 @10.015,000 (150L)
07200 @6.025,000 (250L)
07500 @5.527,200 (272L)
HKD 400K
ETF @priceShares (lots)
07226 @12.016,600 (166L)
07552 @10.020,000 (200L)
07200 @6.033,300 (333L)
07500 @5.536,300 (363L)
How fixed-fraction compounding works: Each trade deploys 50% of current account equity per strategy at 1× — matching combined.html's 200K/strategy on 400K base. On agree days (2×) both strategies run at 100% each = 200% notional peak (no margin; leverage is inside the ETF). As profits accumulate, position sizes grow proportionally — compounding automatically. • Annualised return: combined.html shows +49.6% (simple arithmetic on fixed 400K capital). Compound plan CAGR will be slightly lower because CAGR always < simple annualised for positive returns. • How to place in Futu: enter the shares figure directly — min unit is 100 shares (1 board lot). • No margin needed: 2× leverage is inside the ETF; you never borrow. • Caution: backtest is from a single 16-month window. Out-of-sample returns will differ.

Per-Trade Shares to Enter in Futu — HKD 200K Starting Capital   Shares grow as equity compounds  |  Solo/conflict = 25% of equity  |  Agree = 50% each  |  min unit = 100 shares (1 board lot)

DateStrategyETFRegime PriceShares
(÷100 = lots)		Notional% Equity P&LEquity After
2025-01-02HSI7500solo3.68127,100
271 lots		99,75550%+1,276201,276
2025-01-07HSI7500solo3.85126,100
261 lots		100,51150%+1,288202,564
2025-01-09SL_REV7552solo3.37030,000
300 lots		101,10050%+478203,042
2025-01-09HSTECH7226solo3.96325,600
256 lots		101,45350%-752202,290
2025-01-13HSI7500solo4.10924,600
246 lots		101,08150%+893203,183
2025-01-16HSI7200solo3.63127,900
279 lots		101,30550%+1,007204,190
2025-01-20HSI7200▲AGREE3.75154,400
544 lots		204,054100%+2,138206,328
2025-01-20HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.40746,800
468 lots		206,248100%+653206,981
2025-01-21HSI7200solo3.88526,600
266 lots		103,34150%+266207,247
2025-01-22HSTECH7552solo2.94135,200
352 lots		103,52350%+205207,452
2025-01-24HSI7200▲AGREE3.74555,300
553 lots		207,098100%+784208,236
2025-01-24HSTECH7226▲AGREE4.35947,700
477 lots		207,924100%+2,709210,945
2025-01-28HSI7200solo3.95126,600
266 lots		105,09750%-560210,385
2025-02-03HSI7500solo3.67128,600
286 lots		104,99150%+537210,922
2025-02-04HSI7200solo3.96126,600
266 lots		105,36350%+1,197212,119
2025-02-07HSTECH7226solo5.37619,700
197 lots		105,90750%+299212,418
2025-02-11HSI7200solo4.45123,800
238 lots		105,93450%+22212,440
2025-02-12HSI7200▲AGREE4.42348,000
480 lots		212,304100%+1,259213,699
2025-02-12HSTECH7226▲AGREE5.64137,800
378 lots		213,230100%+668214,367
2025-02-14HSI7200solo4.58523,300
233 lots		106,83050%+1,147215,514
2025-02-17HSI7200solo4.92121,800
218 lots		107,27850%+532216,046
2025-02-19HSI7500solo2.80138,500
385 lots		107,83850%+106216,152
2025-02-20HSI7500solo2.80538,500
385 lots		107,99250%+966217,118
2025-02-26HSI7200solo5.09121,300
213 lots		108,43850%+3,520220,638
2025-03-03HSI7200solo5.02121,900
219 lots		109,96050%+99220,737
2025-03-04HSI7500solo2.79739,400
394 lots		110,20250%-1,579219,158
2025-03-05HSI7200solo5.07121,600
216 lots		109,53450%+932220,090
2025-03-06HSI7200solo5.41120,300
203 lots		109,84350%+2,505222,595
2025-03-17HSI7200solo5.52120,100
201 lots		110,97250%+195222,790
2025-03-25HSI7500solo2.52144,100
441 lots		111,17650%+1,593224,383
2025-03-31HSI7500solo2.61942,800
428 lots		112,09350%+134224,517
2025-05-12HSI7200solo4.87523,000
230 lots		112,12550%+2,559227,076
2025-05-14HSI7200solo4.90123,100
231 lots		113,21350%+428227,504
2025-05-16HSI7500solo2.42146,900
469 lots		113,54550%+111227,615
2025-05-19HSI7500solo2.45346,300
463 lots		113,57450%+89227,704
2025-05-22HSTECH7552solo1.77364,200
642 lots		113,82750%+1,656229,360
2025-05-30HSI7500solo2.40147,700
477 lots		114,52850%+644230,004
2025-06-02HSI7500solo2.46146,700
467 lots		114,92950%+1,695231,699
2025-06-05HSI7200solo5.15122,400
224 lots		115,38250%+65231,764
2025-06-06HSTECH7552solo1.77565,200
652 lots		115,73050%+189231,953
2025-06-09HSI7200solo5.24622,100
221 lots		115,93750%+341232,294
2025-06-12HSI7500solo2.20152,700
527 lots		115,99350%+10232,304
2025-06-18HSTECH7552solo1.79364,700
647 lots		116,00750%-137232,167
2025-06-19HSTECH7552solo1.83363,300
633 lots		116,02950%+2,005234,172
2025-06-23SL_REV7200solo5.05523,100
231 lots		116,77050%+1,291235,463
2025-06-23HSI7500solo2.37149,600
496 lots		117,60250%-1,371234,092
2025-06-24HSI7200solo5.18122,500
225 lots		116,57250%+1,705235,797
2025-06-25HSI7200solo5.41121,700
217 lots		117,41950%+24235,821
2025-07-02HSI7200solo5.36121,900
219 lots		117,40650%+494236,315
2025-07-03HSTECH7552solo1.78366,200
662 lots		118,03550%-404235,911
2025-07-04HSI7500solo2.24152,600
526 lots		117,87750%+354236,265
2025-07-09HSTECH7552solo1.75967,100
671 lots		118,02950%+153236,418
2025-07-18HSI7200solo5.60121,100
211 lots		118,18150%+146236,564
2025-07-21HSI7200solo5.70620,700
207 lots		118,11450%-168236,396
2025-07-23HSI7200▲AGREE5.88140,100
401 lots		235,828100%+1,025237,421
2025-07-23HSTECH7226▲AGREE5.84640,600
406 lots		237,348100%+2,445239,866
2025-07-29HSTECH7552solo1.53977,900
779 lots		119,88850%+146240,012
2025-07-30HSI7500solo1.97960,600
606 lots		119,92750%+300240,312
2025-07-31HSI7500solo2.03159,100
591 lots		120,03250%+817241,129
2025-08-04HSTECH7226solo5.24622,900
229 lots		120,13350%+1,853242,982
2025-08-06HSTECH7226solo5.44622,300
223 lots		121,44650%+379243,361
2025-08-07HSTECH7552solo1.57577,200
772 lots		121,59050%+199243,560
2025-08-08HSTECH7552solo1.59576,300
763 lots		121,69850%+653244,213
2025-08-13HSI7200solo5.75121,200
212 lots		121,92150%+2,633246,846
2025-08-14HSI7200solo6.01120,500
205 lots		123,22650%-1,151245,695
2025-08-14SL_REV7500solo1.93863,300
633 lots		122,67550%-94245,601
2025-08-15HSI7500solo1.97362,200
622 lots		122,72150%+318245,919
2025-08-20HSI7500solo2.02760,600
606 lots		122,83650%+20245,939
2025-08-25HSTECH7226▲AGREE5.98141,100
411 lots		245,819100%+1,419247,358
2025-08-25HSI7200▲AGREE5.98141,300
413 lots		247,015100%+2,446249,804
2025-08-27HSTECH7552solo1.39189,700
897 lots		124,77350%+3,529253,333
2025-08-28HSI7500solo2.00163,300
633 lots		126,66350%+191253,524
2025-09-01HSI7200solo5.88621,500
215 lots		126,54950%+1,077254,601
2025-09-03HSTECH7552⚡CONF1.423178,900
1,789 lots		254,575100%+1,935256,536
2025-09-04HSTECH7552⚡CONF1.463175,300
1,753 lots		256,464100%+3,110259,646
2025-09-05HSTECH7226solo5.63123,000
230 lots		129,51350%+1,702261,348
2025-09-10HSTECH7226solo6.26120,800
208 lots		130,22950%-976260,372
2025-09-10SL_REV7552solo1.34496,800
968 lots		130,09950%-428259,944
2025-09-11HSI7500solo1.83970,600
706 lots		129,83350%+104260,048
2025-09-12HSI7200solo6.39120,300
203 lots		129,73750%-533259,515

Monthly Return Breakdown — HKD 200K / HKD 300K / HKD 400K Starting Capital

Month Trades HKD 200K P&L HKD 200K Ret% HKD 200K Equity HKD 300K P&L HKD 300K Ret% HKD 300K Equity HKD 400K P&L HKD 400K Ret% HKD 400K Equity
2025-0113+10,385+5.19%210,385+15,580+5.19%315,580+20,784+5.20%420,784
2025-0211+10,253+4.87%220,638+15,378+4.87%330,958+20,519+4.88%441,303
2025-037+3,879+1.76%224,517+5,828+1.76%336,786+7,758+1.76%449,061
2025-056+5,487+2.44%230,004+8,233+2.44%345,019+10,980+2.45%460,041
2025-0611+5,817+2.53%235,821+8,729+2.53%353,748+11,646+2.53%471,687
2025-0711+5,308+2.25%241,129+7,964+2.25%361,712+10,622+2.25%482,309
2025-0813+12,395+5.14%253,524+18,595+5.14%380,307+24,812+5.14%507,121
2025-0912+9,320+3.68%262,844+13,980+3.68%394,287+18,653+3.68%525,774
2025-107+1,612+0.61%264,456+2,416+0.61%396,703+3,223+0.61%528,997
2025-1111+12,162+4.60%276,618+18,256+4.60%414,959+24,334+4.60%553,331
2025-128+13,059+4.72%289,677+19,593+4.72%434,552+26,131+4.72%579,462
2026-0114+12,752+4.40%302,429+19,145+4.41%453,697+25,544+4.41%605,006
2026-0215+15,794+5.22%318,223+23,716+5.23%477,413+31,621+5.23%636,627
2026-0317+24,939+7.84%343,162+37,443+7.84%514,856+49,940+7.84%686,567
2026-0410-917-0.27%342,245-1,374-0.27%513,482-1,832-0.27%684,735